Saturday, September 22, 2012

#23

Braves projected NLDS roster

Brian McCann
Freddie Freeman
Dan Uggla
Chipper Jones
Andrelton Simmons
Martin Prado
Michael Bourn
Jason Heyward

David Ross
Reed Johnson
Juan Francisco

Tim Hudson
Kris Medlen
Mike Minor
Paul Maholm

Craig Kimbrel
Eric O’Flaherty
Jonny Venters
Cristhian Martinez
Chad Durbin
Peter Moylan
Luis Avilan

Final two bench spots: Jeff Baker, Paul Janish or Tyler Pastornicky; Lyle Overbay or Eric Hinske
Final bullpen spot: Cory Gearrin, Tommy Hanson

I’ll bet Gearrin, Pastornicky and Hinske get the last three spots. In a short series a fifth starter (especially one as inconsistent as Tommy) is not necessary. Assuming Hinske gets one as a masher off the bench, As of right now it’s a coin flip between Baker, The Rev, and Janish, but Prado’s surprisingly good play at short may erase the necessity for a good glove there, making Janish less vital.

One game playoff scenario

The one game playoff provides a unique opportunity for roster management. The game will be treated as its own round of playoffs, and as such, teams can create a roster for one game only, with no repercussions on the division series or end of regular season. The one main change would be in starting pitching. You’re only going to use one starting pitcher in a game, why waste 3 or 4 roster spots on guys who won’t pitch and can’t hit enough to justify a bench spot?

Hanson and Maholm are definitely removed from the mix, maybe Minor too. Guessing the Braves will bring a second fully rested starter in to the one game playoff in case the scheduled starter gets hurt, a rain delay messes things up, or something along those lines. What will be interesting is if the Braves would bring a third starter in to the game for long relief purposes. Minor could have some value facing lefties if things got crazy. My guess is that Boscan would take one of the one day roster spots so that Ross could pinch hit if need be. Gearrin would probably take the other  with another bench player possible.

Thursday, September 20, 2012

#22

Longest tenure with the Atlanta Braves

Chipper Jones         1993
Tim Hudson             2005
Brian McCann         2005
Peter Moylan           2006
Martin Prado           2006
David Ross              2009
Kris Medlen            2009
Tommy Hanson      2009
Jason Heyward        2010
Eric Hinske             2010
Eric O'Flaherty        2010
Jonny Venters          2010
Craig Kimbrel           2010
Cristhian Martinez   2010
Mike Minor             2010
Freddie Freeman     2010
Brandon Beachy      2010
J.C. Boscan             2010
Dan Uggla               2011
Cory Gearrin           2011
Julio Teheran           2011
Randall Delgado       2011
Jose Constanza        2011
Michael Bourn         2011
Tyler Pastornicky    2011
Juan Fancisco          2012
Chad Durbin            2012
Andrelton Simmons 2012
Luis Avilan              2012
Ben Sheets               2012
Paul Janish              2012
Reed Johnson          2012
Paul Maholm           2012
Miguel Batista        2012
Lyle Overbay          2012
Jeff Baker               2012

Monday, September 10, 2012

#21

In the past the playoff system was very straight forward. The three division winners and the team with the team with the best record that did not win its division made the playoffs, and they play with the best record playing the worst and the other two playing (4 vs 1 and 3 vs 2). The only real catch wass that you can't play a team in your own division in the first round, so if the Nationals had the best record and the Braves won the wild card, the Braves would play the team with the second best record (4 vs 2 and 3 vs 1).

MLB wants to make more money so they added an additional playoff spot. The three division winners still make it, but the top two non division winners make it now. Two days after the regular season ends the top two non division winners will play at the site of the team with the better record. After that the playoffs will proceed as they have in the past, except the requirement of no intradivision matchups. So if the Braves won the wild card (and wild card game) and the Nationals have the NL's best record, the two would meet in the first round.

And of course, tie breakers. First tie breaker is head to head record. Second is record within your own division. On the slim chance these are all even, a coin flip would determine things. Braves hold tiebreaker over the Cardinals, Washington holds the tiebreaker over us, we split the season series with the Dodgers so it would come down to division records (which we are doing much better in, as of now), and we still have games against Pittsburgh so it's too early to tell. The four teams we're closest with provided us with four different scenarios. Fun!

Two quick notes- due to MLB's last minute addition of a wild card playoff game, the first round this year will be conducted in a 2-3 format rather than 2-2-1. They will go back next year.

Also, if there is a tie for any playoff spot there will be a one game playoff on October 4. This includes two teams being tied for division/ wild card spot. For instance- if the Braves and Nationals end with the same record, and either would qualify for a wild card, the two teams would play a one game playoff for the division in Washington on Thursday, and the loser would play in the one game Wild Card Playoff on Friday.



I'm obsessive about planning ahead so I scoured the interwebs looking for potential Braves playoff scenarios. If we make it we'll play one of two schedules either as division champion or wild card winner. I've laid out the schedules for both paths below. Hopefully they'll let you plan ahead.


Now all we need to do is win some ball games so these scenarios come to life.



WildCard:
Friday October 5                             Wild Card Game
Sunday October 7                            NLDS Game 1     home
Monday October 8                          NLDS Game 2     home
Wednesday October 10                   NLDS Game 3     road
Thursday October 11                      NLDS Game 4     road
Friday October 12                            NLDS Game 5     road
Sunday October 14                          NLCS Game 1
Monday October 15                        NLCS Game 2
Wednesday October 17                   NLCS Game 3
Thursday October 18                      NLCS Game 4
Friday October 19                            NLCS Game 5
Sunday October 20                          NLCS Game 6
Monday October 21                        NLCS Game 7
Wednesday October 23                   World Series Game 1      home
Thursday October 24                      World Series Game 2      home
Saturday October 26                       World Series Game 3      road
Sunday October 27                          World Series Game 4      road
Monday October 28                        World Series Game 5      road
Wednesday October 30                   World Series Game 6      home
Thursday October 31                      World Series Game 7      home

Division title
Saturday October 6                         NLDS Game 1    
Sunday October 7                            NLDS Game 2
Tuesday October 9                          NLDS Game 3
Wednesday October 10                   NLDS Game 4
Thursday October 11                      NLDS Game 5
Sunday October 14                          NLCS Game 1
Monday October 15                        NLCS Game 2
Wednesday October 17                  NLCS Game 3
Thursday October 18                      NLCS Game 4
Friday October 19                            NLCS Game 5
Sunday October 20                          NLCS Game 6
Monday October 21                        NLCS Game 7
Wednesday October 23                  World Series Game 1      home
Thursday October 24                      World Series Game 2      home
Saturday October 26                       World Series Game 3      road
Sunday October 27                          World Series Game 4      road
Monday October 28                        World Series Game 5      road
Wednesday October 30                   World Series Game 6      home
Thursday October 31                      World Series Game 7      home