1. Trade
with Royals- The match between Braves and Royals goes beyond Dayton Moore’s
affinity for our unwanted parts. They need pitching and have extra corner
players, we need corner players and have extra pitching. A deal centered around
one of our young pitchers for Gordon or Moustakas (not Frenchy) could work
2. Explore
E’OF trade- If Brandon League is worth 3 years, 22.5 million (I think this is
an aberration, but still) EO’F will be worth significantly more than we can pay
him next offseason. Wren would be foolish to not look in to the possibility of
selling high as we’ll lose him for nothing in a year.
3. Extend
Heyward/Prado- They’re in line for a lot of money, might as well get it out of
the way now so we have cost certainty. Something between Andrew McCutchen and
Nick Markakis for Heyward, 6 years, 60 million-ish, and 4 years, 40-50 million
for Prado
4. Mike
Olt- Texas has the best 3B and SS prospects in the game and have second, third,
and short locked down for years to come. While he’d be pricey, he’d lock down
the hot corner for years to come. (I wrote this one before word of the
Simmons/Olt
5. Getting
an ace- I’m probably the only person that thinks the Braves should go big on a
frontline starting pitcher, but darn it, I want an ace. Greinke is probably out
of our budget but if I’m Wren I at least call to see if Felix, Price, or others
even might be the teensiest bit available.
6. Victorino/Hunter
one year deal- Victorino is only a good idea on a one year, low dollar amount.
While I’m generally loath to sign anyone over 35, Hunter intrigues me. He had a
higher OPS than Bourn or Upton (both Uptons, for that matter) and played an
excellent corner outfield. He’ll probably get a multi year deal, which sours me
on him.
7. Right
handed set up man- A righty to pitch the 8th was a huge weakness on the 2012
Braves. Assuming Brandon League was a fluke, there are plenty of options we
could pick a solid counterpart to EO’F. One of Soria, Adams, Broxton, Grilli,
Uehara, etc… would work.
8. Denard
Span. He’s Bourn Lite. Excellent defense, gets on base, runs. Minnesota
desperately needs pitching, we have plenty to spare.
Bad ideas
1. Dexter
Fowler- Fowler is the epitome of a Coors Field hitter. His triple slash line is
remarkably similar to Andrew McCutchen at home and Alicedes Escobar on the
road. The Rockies will want a package far closer to the former than the latter
to pry him away. He’s not worth it until there’s reason to think he can hit
outside of Colorado.
2. Josh
Hamilton- He’s old, ridiculously expensive, no longer a center fielder, and
would take up our entire offseason budget. He’s also as injury prone as they
come- think Chipper at the end of his career type tweaks/aches/and pulls. Then
there’s the x-factor: no one knows how several years of cocaine use and
alcoholism will effect a fragile body. All I know is I don’t want the Braves to
be the ones to find out.
3. Extend
Medlen- He’s not going to have a 0.97 ERA, 0.80 WHIP forever. He’ll come back
down to earth sometime, we’re just not sure where earth is. Will he settle down
as an elite #2 starter or more of a middle of the rotation guy? It’s better to
figure this out (and see if he can stay healthy) before committing big money to
him.
4. Angel
Pagan- My man crush on Pagan is well known (and he has the coolest name in
baseball). That said, the more I think about it, the more I’m convinced he’s
priced himself out of our market. The love/lust was based on the idea he could
be had for something in the neighborhood of Jason Kubel money- 2 years, 15
million- but the general consensus is that he’ll get 3-4 years and 10+ million
per. If it’s affordable, I love it. But I don’t think it will be.
5. Josh
Willingham- It wouldn’t be a Braves offseason without mumblings of Josh
Willingham. While his right handed bat in left looks good on paper, paying
Minnesota for an expensive, soon to be 34 year old isn’t our best move.
6. Big
time contracts- Young, soon to be arbitration eligible, players will swallow up
a huge chunk of our payroll 2013-2016. Locking down huge chunks of our payroll
during this period will only haunt us.
7. Spend
money for the sake of spending money- If it’s January and there’s plenty of
money left over, don’t throw it at someone. Use it for extending our young
players or keep it for a midseason addition. Goes along with #8
8. Force
it- Wren’s biggest mistakes have come when he feels he *needs* to do
something. Needing good publicity as much as a good pitcher, he threw
60,000,000.00 at Derek Lowe. (Imagine what the 2012 Braves could have done
without paying Lowe to pitch elsewhere) Conversely, Wren has showed the
patience of a Jedi acquiring Michael Bourn, waiting other teams out and
pouncing at he last minute picking up the best available player. Don’t give in
to the media or the fans, wait and make the best move.
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